Great news: I had a paper accepted in Climatic Change – a journal that I really enjoy, and follow almost religiously: that journal has some real zingers!
My former student Angel and I have for two years been working on understanding the impacts of climatic change on electric power demand in Paraguay and projecting it into the future, and this paper was written and rewritten and rewritten again several times, as we gained deeper insights into the Paraguayan energy sector.
The future of Paraguayan energy is a very important question: Firstly, few studies have been done to understand the impacts of climate change on the energy sector in South America (actually, developing countries in general), and this should help fill a gap in the literature. Secondly, Paraguay has massive potential for hydroelectric energy, but the distribution and transmission infrastructure is completely inadequate, so the potential hasn’t contributed to economic growth or development the way it could have – a deeper understanding of the issue may help unlock some growth potential. And, finally, the renegotiation of the Itaipu treaty with Brazil (expires in 2023) is scheduled to start this year, and demand projections will be needed to see if the Paraguay will have a large oversupply, as they have historically, or if they will need the power themselves (spoiler: not only will the oversupply disappear within the next two decades, but they also have to start thinking about expanding the generation capacity!).
While the article is in press, you can read the accepted manuscript by following the link below!